Wednesday, March 21, 2007


Living conditions in southern Europe are heading down. Just one more sign of the climate changes underway throughout the world. One Greek scientist says the long term effects will include a mass migration north. He says areas of southern Europe are heading toward a desert future.

The Gulf Times reports:

The hottest winter in two centuries in Italy, below average rains in Hungary and a shortage of snow in the Greek mountains make the outlook for grain crops in southern Europe this year decidedly patchy, farming sources say.
Greece has had very little rain since November and had its driest January in about 50 years. Farmers fear for the harvest.

They planted about 20% more grain this year after a drop in 2006 and are turning to grain instead of sugar beet and cotton, General Confederation of Greek Agrarian Associations board member Charalambos Orfanidis told Reuters. Orfanidis said the maize and wheat harvests could be severely affected by the dry spell.

“The winter has been essentially dry – no rain and no snow in the mountains to allow build-up of water reserves,” he said. “The months of April and May now require regular rainfall, which is unlikely ... It looks like a bad year.”

In February, the European Environment Agency urged European governments to start planning now to cope with climate-induced water stress, and singled out southern Spain, southern Italy, Greece and Turkey as being badly exposed.

The people of Greece have awakened to the threat. Seven out of 10 Greeks are “very worried” about global warming and climate change, one of the highest rates in the European Union, according to a poll made public this month.

They aren't alone.

According to the Eurobarometer survey, concern about climate change is higher in the EU’s southernmost, and warmest, member states, with the Greeks and Maltese showing high levels of concern (68 percent), just after the Spaniards and Cypriots (70 percent).

The following comes from Planet Ark.

Spread of Desert "May Cause Mediterranean Exodus"

ATHENS - Parched land could trigger a mass exodus north from the Mediterranean if the long-term effects of climate change, construction and farming are not checked, a Greek environmental official warned on Tuesday.

Swathes of Greece are also in immediate danger of becoming permanent desert, said Professor Costas Kosmas, head of a government committee set up to battle desertification.

"Desertification is a slow-moving process and once we realise it is happening it will be too late to go back," Kosmas told Reuters in an interview.

Desertification is being fuelled by a reduction in average rainfall coupled with higher temperatures, deforestation and human activities such as farming, construction and tourism. Kosmas said long-term environmental changes meant all countries across the Mediterranean basin would eventually be affected -- and that populations would drift to cooler north European latitudes.

"Desertification means that people cannot earn a living off the land so they move. They become migrants, flocking to urban areas," he said.

"Northern European countries have accepted this, though we (in the region) need to start taking specific measures immediately because we have done little until now."

Greece, which is the committee's main focus, has been experiencing one of its worst droughts in 20 years and its landscape will change substantially within the next decade, Kosmas said.

Greece's average rainfall has fallen by about 30 percent since the mid 1970s, and last January was the driest in half a century.

"About 34 or 35 percent of the country has been highlighted by us as extreme danger areas that face desertification, with great repercussions for humans and the economy," Kosmas said.

Parts of the southern Peloponnese region, many of the Aegean islands popular with tourists, as well as northern, central Greece and the wider Athens region are at high risk.

Greece, one of the fastest growing economies in the euro zone, is experiencing a construction boom and a sharp rise in tourism that has strained natural resources.

Tens of thousands of holiday homes are being built this year alone to meet the demand from foreigners, and the construction industry has been growing by a third every year since 2000.

But Kosmas said the economic benefits could soon be outweighed by long-term environmental damage.

"The areas in danger have seen a large part of the earth disappearing, leaving maybe 30 or 40 centimetres of top layer earth. They are unfit for farming, forests will not be able to grow back, rain does not trickle down."

Story by Karolos Grohmann

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